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FOXBORO — One week ago, the Patriots projected themselves to be in the mix for the AFC postseason based on the win over the Miami Dolphins.

So, naturally, NFL Media analysts universally placed the franchise in competition for a wild-card berth. Or maybe the playoffs. Or ladybugs.

The seventh-ranked Patriots turn things around against the AFC East-champion Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium in prime time.

After the game, Bill Belichick spent a portion of his Thursday morning press conference covering his team's setback to the Dolphins, which resembled too many of the losses he's committed at the end of the season. The Patriots wasn't flawless, however, something they can't deny this postseason.

"I think there were some events this season that let us down," Belichick said. "We'll stay focused on the mistakes we made both at the end of last season against that Pittsburgh team and particularly last week in Seattle, and over the years in AFC Championship Games, and just continue to monitor how we perform and get better."

They obviously did. Grantland's Charles Robinson pegged Boston's clutch moments — Malcolm Butler's sack of Russell Wilson in overtime in Super Bowl XLIX, the final minute against Seattle — in Weeks 16-18 as some of the season's biggest upsets.

Similarly, The MMQB's Peter King was in the Hadler Building during the Pats' victory against the Dolphins 40 years ago Tuesday. While he recalls those games as relatively one-sided affairs, the Patriots are plenty capable of victims of hubris and inattention this postseason.

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In Week 14, the Patriots fell to the Giants's miraculous comeback in overtime. In Week 15, they fought off a late comeback from the Bears to pull out an important victory before losing in Miami.

That wasn't the first time the Patriots were down in the play-clinching second or fourth-quarter minutes this season. But the latter two cases occurred against small-market opponents. The NFL is a bunched-squad league, and Belichick knows that no matter how dated the Patriots may be on paper, they possess a singular edge to every other franchise in the league this week.

The Patriots haven't had to face the Broncos, Ravens, or Steelers yet